Fourteen games on the last Sunday of August, and the board's personality is printed on the price tags. Nearly every clean angle today is a hitter who cannot cross the plate or drive anybody in, and the books have already charged for it: -225 on Shohei Ohtani, -200 on Ronald Acuña Jr., -165 on a Twins third baseman who is still stinging the ball. The only two angles that pay anything are pointed the other way. Here's the board for Sunday, August 30.
| Trend | Recent form | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Royce Lewis Under 0.5 Runs | 9 straight without scoring | -165 |
| Shohei Ohtani Under 0.5 RBI | No RBI in 8 straight | -225 |
| Austin Riley Under 0.5 Runs | 8 straight without scoring | -157 |
| Ronald Acuña Jr. Under 0.5 RBI | No RBI in 8 straight | -200 |
| Christian Yelich Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI | 4 straight, 7 of his last 8 | +100 |
| Marlins F5 Total Under 4.5 | 12 of their last 15 | +110 |
| Marlins NRFI | 21-7 over their last 28 | - |
Royce Lewis Keeps Hitting Singles Into a Void
The strangest number on the board belongs to a guy who is not actually in a hitting slump. Royce Lewis has 7 hits over his last 10 games and has not scored a run in any of them. He has stayed Under 0.5 Runs in 9 straight, and the pattern is the same every night: he reaches, the inning ends somewhere behind him, and the box score credits him with nothing. Minnesota hosts the White Sox at 2:10 PM ET with Jordan Hicks expected to start for Chicago.
Worth a look: Lewis Under 0.5 Runs at -165.
Ohtani's Last RBI Was August 18
Twelve days is a long time for the most productive hitter in the sport to leave the RBI column blank, and that's where Shohei Ohtani sits. He has gone 8 straight games without driving in a run, and he has kept hitting through it, including a 2-hit afternoon in Atlanta on August 26. The Dodgers open a day game in Detroit at 1:40 PM ET against Framber Valdez. You are laying -225 for the privilege, which is the whole tension here: the market watched the same 12 days you did.
The lean is Ohtani Under 0.5 RBI at -225.
Riley Hasn't Touched Home in 8 Games
Atlanta's third baseman has been on base plenty and around to score for none of it. Austin Riley has stayed Under 0.5 Runs in 8 straight, a run that started on August 20 and has not been interrupted since. Colorado sends Mason Adams, called up in the middle of the month to fill Kyle Freeland's rotation spot, for a 1:35 PM ET start in Atlanta. A back-of-the-rotation rookie is the kind of arm that usually breaks a streak like this, which is worth saying out loud before anybody treats the number as free.
Worth a look: Riley Under 0.5 Runs at -157.
Acuña Is in the Same Lineup and the Same Rut
Same dugout, different column. Ronald Acuña Jr. has gone 8 straight games without an RBI, which means Atlanta's 2 most recognizable bats are both riding week-plus droughts into a home matinee. These are correlated by design rather than independent reads, and pairing them is a bet on one lineup staying cold rather than 2 separate hitters doing so. Acuña's number costs -200, Riley's costs -157, and the difference is mostly name.
Could be a value play: Acuña Under 0.5 RBI at -200.
Yelich Is the One Bat Paying Full Freight
Somebody on this board is producing, and he is the cheapest thing on it. Christian Yelich has cleared 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI in 4 straight and in 7 of his last 8, with a 4-count on August 28 and a 3-count the next day. Milwaukee hosts Texas at 2:10 PM ET with Kumar Rocker expected on the mound. Even money on a hitter in this form is the only place today where the price is not doing the arguing for you.
Stands out: Yelich Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI at +100.
Miami's First Five Innings Come With a Plus Price
The Marlins open the day at 12:15 PM ET in Washington, and their early innings have been the most reliable thing about them. Miami has gone Under 4.5 in the first 5 innings in 12 of their last 15, they are 11-5 doing it on the road, and they are 7-2 in that market against the Nationals over the last 9 meetings. Janson Junk starts against Andrew Alvarez. Plus money on a trend this dense is rare enough that it belongs near the top of the page.
Worth a look: Marlins F5 Total Under 4.5 at +110.
Same Game, Same Silence, Different Inning
The Marlins are also 21-7 NRFI over their last 28, and 18-3 in road games over the last 21. This is the same story as the F5 angle rather than a second opinion on it, so treat the pair as one position, not two. The active run is only 2 games, which means the rate is carrying this and the streak is not.
Quick hits
- Trea Turner has not scored in 5 straight, and 7 of his last 8, at -118 in the 4:07 PM ET game in Anaheim. Under 0.5 Runs.
- You have to lay -225 on Bryan Reynolds to stay Under 0.5 RBI, and what you are buying is 6 straight plus 19 of his last 21.
- Daylen Lile is the rare bat pointed Over on a board full of zeros: he has scored in 3 straight and in 7 of his last 8, at +115.
- Toronto has kept the first inning scoreless in 19 of their last 28, with Max Scherzer facing Logan Gilbert at 1:37 PM ET. No price printed on the derived market.
- Honest wrinkle on Ceddanne Rafaela: 8 straight games Under 0.5 Runs at -140, but 8 games is his entire usable log, so there is no depth behind it.
Saturday's board leaned in this same direction, and the day before that did too, which is either a real August or a very patient coincidence.
August closes tonight in Chicago, where the Reds and Cubs go at 7:20 PM ET, and it will take a genuinely loud inning to change the shape of this month. The rest of the board is asking you to pay retail for silence.
Prices move all day, so check the current number before you act on any of this and see our line shopping guide for why that matters. Trends describe what has already happened, not what will. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.