Monday's MLB board is a pile of streaks that have gone on long enough to feel fragile. Junior Caminero has hit safely in 13 straight games. Dillon Dingler and Francisco Álvarez haven't scored a run in 14 apiece. It's the last night of August, all 12 games start after 6 PM ET, and most of these streaks either carry into September or stop tonight.
| Trend | Record | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Hits | A hit in 13 straight | -235 |
| Dillon Dingler Under 0.5 Runs | No run in 14 straight | -175 |
| Ryan Jeffers Under 0.5 RBI | No RBI in 8 straight | -235 |
| Tigers NRFI | Scoreless 1st in 5 straight | - |
| Francisco Álvarez Under 0.5 Runs | No run in 14 straight | -235 |
| CJ Abrams Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI | 10 of his last 12 | +110 |
| Rays NRFI | 12-5 in their last 17 | - |
Caminero's Last Hitless Night Was August 16
August 16. That's the last time Junior Caminero finished a game without a hit, and it feels like a while ago now. He's put together 13 in a row since, and it hasn't been a bloop-and-a-prayer stretch either: 5 of those 13 were multi-hit games. Tampa Bay's 22-year-old third baseman has been carrying this lineup for two weeks, and the national coverage has started calling the stretch historic, which is fair for a kid who already became the youngest player since at least 1900 to homer in 6 straight games earlier this season. The Mets counter with Robert Stock, expected on the mound after a month back in a rotation. The one thing working against the angle is the number. -235 is a steep price to pay for a single base hit, even this one.
Worth a look: Over 0.5 Hits at -235.
Dingler Has 26 Homers and Nothing to Show for August
Here's a strange line: Dillon Dingler has 26 home runs and 82 RBI this season, and he hasn't scored a run in 14 straight games. Detroit's catcher last crossed the plate on August 12. It's the longest active scoreless streak on tonight's board, and it has company. The matchup doesn't offer him much either. He's stayed off the board in 13 of his last 18 against right-handers, and Taj Bradley gets the ball for Minnesota.
Worth a look: Under 0.5 Runs at -175.
The Other Catcher in This Game Can't Drive Anyone In
Cross the diamond and Minnesota has the same problem. Ryan Jeffers hasn't picked up an RBI in 8 consecutive games, and he's come up empty in 20 of his last 23. Jackson Jobe is expected to start for Detroit, and right-handers have handcuffed Jeffers all season: he's failed to drive in a run in 14 of his last 15 against them. Two catchers, one game, neither of them producing anything. Be clear about what that is, though. It isn't two separate reads. It's the same read from both dugouts.
Worth a look: Under 0.5 RBI at -235.
The 1st Inning Keeps Coming Up Empty in Detroit's Games
The pattern in this game goes deeper than the two catchers. Detroit's games have opened with a scoreless 1st inning 5 straight times, and the 1st is where this matchup's quietest bats live. Short, clean, and it points the same direction as everything else at Target Field tonight. If NRFI is new to you, it's the simplest bet on the board: no run scores in the opening frame.
Worth a look: the NRFI.
Back in Tampa, an Identical 14-Game Streak
Return to the Rays game, because Caminero's heater has an exact mirror in the other dugout. Francisco Álvarez hasn't scored a run in 14 straight either, and he's been held off the board in 19 of his last 21 going back to the end of July. Tampa Bay is expected to start left-hander Ian Seymour, and Álvarez hasn't crossed the plate in any of his last 6 against lefties. One building, two streaks pointed in opposite directions, both of them 13 games deep or better. Something in there gives tonight.
Worth a look: Under 0.5 Runs at -235.
Abrams Keeps Coming Up Short in Washington
There's a plus price attached to this one, and it belongs to Washington's shortstop. CJ Abrams has been held to 1 or fewer combined hits, runs and RBI in 6 straight games, and in 10 of his last 12. Ryan Gusto is expected to get the ball for Miami, and he's given up 2 runs or fewer in each of his last 5 starts.
Worth a look: Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI at +110.
Tampa Bay's Games Have Been Starting Slow Too
Tampa Bay's games have gone 12-5 to the NRFI across their last 17, and the home split is the stronger half of it: 19-7 in their last 26. There's no live streak attached to this one, so treat it as a rate rather than a sequence, which is the honest way to read it. On a night where quiet first innings keep showing up, it's the second-best version of the same idea.
Worth a look: the NRFI.
Quick hits
- The Marlins have gone 22-7 to the NRFI across their last 29, and 19-3 in their last 22 on the road, the same first-inning trend that led yesterday's board.
- Xavier Edwards hasn't scored a run in 11 straight, and that streak is his entire recent stretch, not a slice of it (-185).
- At +143, Trent Grisham has gone hitless in 4 straight and in 7 of his last 9.
- Spencer Torkelson hasn't crossed the plate in 5 straight, and he's been held there in 16 of his last 18 (-197).
- Julio Rodríguez hasn't driven in a run in 4 straight, and lefties have been the problem: 11 of his last 12. Boston is expected to start the left-hander Payton Tolle (-217).
13 straight, 14 straight, 11 straight. Every streak on this board is deep enough to have a personality by now, and the last night of August is where a few of them are going to stop.
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