Friday's 15-game slate has a personality, and it's a quiet one. Scoreboards have gone cold in Anaheim, Milwaukee, St. Louis and the Bronx, and the trend board reads like a stack of Unders that all learned the same trick. Then there's Texas, where the runs keep piling up and nobody told the Rangers the rest of the league went to sleep.
The trend board at a glance
| Trend | Record | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Angels Game Total Under 8.5 | Under in 17 of last 21 | +110 |
| Brewers Game Total Under 8.0 | Under in all 7 of last 7 | -102 |
| Cardinals Team Total Under 4.5 | Held to 4 or fewer in 19 of 25 | -110 |
| Braves Team Total Under 3.5 | Held to 3 or fewer in 15 of 20 | -102 |
| Royals First 5 Innings Total Under 4.5 | Under in 18 of last 22 | +110 |
| Rangers Game Total Over 7.5 | Over in 20 of last 26 | +105 |
Angels games have stopped producing runs
Start with the deepest number on the board. The Under has cashed in 17 of the Angels' last 21 games, including 6 in a row, and it pays plus money at +110 with the Total set at 8.5 in Miami. The road split points the same direction, with the Under hitting in all 4 of their last 4 away from home. Tyler Phillips gets the ball for the Marlins and George Klassen is expected to answer for Los Angeles, in a park that hasn't exactly been a launching pad. Six straight is the kind of run that usually drags a number down with it, and this one is still sitting on 8.5. Worth a look: Angels Game Total Under 8.5 at +110.
Milwaukee hasn't seen a loud game in 2 weeks
Seven for seven. That's Brewers games finishing Under the Total in every one of their last 7, and tonight's number sits at 8.0 with Minnesota in town. Widen the lens and the story holds up: the Under has landed in 12 of their last 18 at home, with 1 push. Shane Drohan is expected on the mound for Milwaukee against Zebby Matthews, a lefty-righty pairing in a ballpark that's been playing small all month. The lean is to the Under at 8.0.
The Cardinals bats have gone whisper-quiet at home
St. Louis has been held to 4 runs or fewer in 19 of its last 25, and the last 5 in a row have all stayed there. The supporting number is the one that matters most tonight: against right-handed starters, the Cardinals have stayed Under this Team Total in 19 of 30, and Ryan Feltner is expected to take the ball for Colorado. The Team Total sits at 4.5 at -110, which is the standard price for a trend this deep. Worth a look: Cardinals Team Total Under 4.5.
Two cold lineups, one game in the Bronx
Here's the tidiest confluence on the board. Atlanta has been held to 3 runs or fewer in 15 of its last 20, 5 straight, with its Team Total set at 3.5 at -102. On the other side, the Yankees have stayed Under their own Team Total of 4.5 in 17 of their last 19, priced at -130. Both of those can be true at once, and lately both have been. Max Fried gets the ball for New York against Tyler Mahle, who's expected to start for the Braves. If you want the cheaper of the 2 numbers, the Atlanta side is close to even money. Worth a look: Braves Team Total Under 3.5 at -102.
A Cubs debut walks into Kansas City's quietest market
Royals games have stayed Under 4.5 through the first 5 innings in 18 of the last 22, and the price is +110. The wrinkle is a real one, so we'll name it: Kevin Gausman is expected to make his first start for the Cubs after the trade, and a pitcher's debut with a new club is the definition of an unknown. Daniel Lynch IV is expected to go for Kansas City. The early-innings number has been the steadier read here all summer, and that's the side the record backs. Could be a value play: Royals First 5 Innings Total Under 4.5 at +110.
Somebody forgot to tell Texas
Every quiet board needs a counterpunch, and this one is loud. Rangers games have gone Over in 20 of their last 26, and at home the number is 19 of 24. Those games have averaged 9.77 runs, nearly 2 clear of tonight's Total of 7.5, which pays +105. Full honesty on the shape of it: there's no active run here, since the most recent one landed Under. The depth is doing the work, not a streak. Worth a look: Rangers Game Total Over 7.5.
Quick hits from the rest of the slate
- Nobody scores early in Houston: the 1st inning has stayed scoreless in 6 straight Astros games, and NRFI is the play with no price attached.
- Pittsburgh's Game Total Under 8.0 pays even money at +100, and it's cashed 4 in a row, 11 of the last 16.
- The White Sox keep hanging around: +1.5 has cashed in 20 of their last 29 at -135, and 11 of 16 against lefty starters, which is what Parker Messick is.
- Miami's opening frame has been a dead zone, scoreless in 20 of the last 25 and 13 of 16 at home.
- One more for the Over column: Seattle's Game Total has finished Over in 11 of its last 17, with 1 push, at +104.
A board this one-sided usually breaks somewhere, and Texas is the obvious place to look. If the Rangers hold up their end, Friday night ends with exactly one scoreboard worth watching. The player markets are running their own cold streak, and you can find those in today's props board.
Every record above comes from our graded-results database for the exact market listed, and starters are the expected probables, which can change right up until the lineup cards are posted. Odds move all day, so check the current number first; our line shopping guide explains why that matters. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.