Something odd is going on with tonight's prop prices. The steadiest streaks on this 10-game Monday card keep coming back at plus money, while the single longest active run of them all is the most expensive number on the board. That's the shape of it: the cheap tickets are on the shorter streaks, and you pay up for the one that won't quit.
| The prop | The record | The number |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson Under 1.5 Total Bases | 1 base or none in 8 straight | -130 |
| Freddie Freeman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI | 7 straight | +110 |
| Carson Williams Under 0.5 Hits | Hitless in 8 straight | +125 |
| Wilyer Abreu Over 0.5 RBI | Drove one in 6 straight | +128 |
| Christian Scott Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 6+ in 13 of 15 | +106 |
| Jake Burger Under 0.5 RBI | No RBI in 12 straight | -210 |
Gunnar Henderson can't find a second base
Eight games in a row now with 1 total base or none, and 17 of his last 21. Baltimore's shortstop has been in the middle of a season-long fight with his own swing, hitting .215 with the kind of August that explains this number: entering this week he had 2 hits on the month and no extra-base hits at all. He told reporters back in June the slump was one of the most frustrating things he'd been through, and it hasn't broken yet. Dean Kremer is expected to start for Minnesota at 7:40 PM ET. Under 1.5 Total Bases is -130, and the price reflects a run this long.
Worth a look: Henderson Under 1.5 Total Bases at -130.
Freeman at plus money is the one that jumps
Seven straight games with 1 or fewer combined hits, runs and RBI, and the Dodgers star is +110 to make it 8. That's the rare combination on this board: a live streak on a genuinely marquee bat, priced above even money. Kansas City is expected to start lefty Noah Cameron at 10:10 PM ET, and Los Angeles as a team has been held down in that spot too, which is covered in tonight's team trends board.
The lean is: Freeman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI at +110.
Eight games, zero hits
Tampa Bay's young shortstop has gone hitless in 8 consecutive games, and you can still get +125 on it. Carson Williams is in Oakland for a 9:40 PM ET start against Jacob Lopez. There's nothing complicated here. The bat has gone whisper-quiet, the market has him at plus money anyway, and one single ends it.
This one stands out: Williams Under 0.5 Hits at +125.
Somebody has to drive in a run
Not every streak on this card is a drought. Wilyer Abreu has driven in at least one run in 6 straight games for Boston, and he's +128 to keep it going in Toronto at 7:07 PM ET against Jameson Taillon. On a board where most of the money is on bats going quiet, the one loud streak paying plus money is worth its own line.
Worth a look: Abreu Over 0.5 RBI at +128.
The arm on the board
Christian Scott has punched out 6 or more in 13 of his last 15 starts, four in a row, and his Strikeouts number is set at 5.5 tonight at +106. He's expected to face Atlanta at 7:15 PM ET, in a game whose first five innings are trending toward traffic for both teams. That's the honest wrinkle worth naming: a busy early scoreboard is not the friendliest backdrop for a strikeout Over, and the two trends in this game don't point the same way.
Could be a value play: Scott Over 5.5 Strikeouts at +106.
The longest streak costs the most
Twelve games. That's how long it's been since Jake Burger drove in a run for Texas, and it's the longest active prop streak on tonight's card. It's also -210, which is a lot to lay on any single at-bat outcome, and no amount of streak length changes that. Burger is hitting .238 with 66 RBIs on the season, so the bat isn't gone, it's just been stuck. The Rangers are in Anaheim at 9:38 PM ET against Reid Detmers.
The lean is: Burger Under 0.5 RBI at -210, with the price named for what it is.
Quick hits
- Corey Seager gets you +160 and he's been held hitless in 9 of his last 10.
- Mookie Betts has finished with 1 total base or none in 23 of his last 26 (-157).
- Only 4 starts to go on, but Logan Henderson has struck out 6 or more in every one of them (+108).
- Brandon Marsh keeps getting squeezed: 1 base or none in 21 of his last 25 (-160).
- Junior Caminero hasn't driven in a run in 17 of his last 24 (-115).
Cold bats everywhere, and the market is charging different rents for the same story. If the plus-money side of this board holds up tonight, it was the cheap half that was worth having.
Numbers move fast on props, so confirm the line and the price before you bet. Our line shopping guide explains why that half-point matters, and the EV calculator is there if you want to run the price yourself. Please gamble responsibly.