There are 15 games on Tuesday, September 8, and hardly anyone on this board is doing anything new. The same bats keep going silent, the same bats keep finding one more hit, and a couple of these runs have been going since the middle of August. Texas at Seattle is left off below because the Mariners still haven't settled on a starter.
| Trend | Record | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Alvarez Under 0.5 Runs | 19 straight | -218 |
| Ernie Clement Under 1.5 Total Bases | 8 straight, 16 of his last 18 | -140 |
| Salvador Perez Over 0.5 Hits | 5 straight, 16 of his last 19 | -210 |
| Dillon Dingler Under 0.5 Runs | 19 of his last 20 | -160 |
| Cam Smith Under 0.5 Runs | 13 of his last 17 | -210 |
| Javier Sanoja Over 0.5 Hits | 7 straight, 15 of his last 18 | -235 |
| Marlins NRFI | 19-7 in their last 26 | - |
The Mets Catcher Who Never Comes Around
Francisco Alvarez hasn't scored a run in 19 straight games. Not one. The backstory isn't a kind one: Alvarez is 5 for 51 with 29 strikeouts across his last 16 games, and New York has been splitting time behind the plate with Luis Torrens while he works through it. A hitter who can't reach base can't come around to score, and that's been the whole story since the middle of August. First pitch in Miami is 6:40 PM ET.
Worth a look: Under 0.5 Runs at -218.
One Base Is All Clement Gets
Toronto's second baseman has failed to reach 2 total bases in 8 straight games, and has cashed 16 of his last 18 at tonight's number. He's averaged well under a single total base a game through that run, which is another way of saying the extra-base hits have dried up entirely. Jack Perkins is Oakland's expected starter for the 9:40 PM ET finish out west.
The lean is Under 1.5 Total Bases at -140.
Salvy Keeps Finding One More Hit
Not everything on this board is a drought. Salvador Perez has a hit in 5 straight, and in 16 of his last 19 at the same number, averaging better than 1.2 hits a game across that window. Corbin Burnes is Arizona's expected starter at 7:40 PM ET, and a front-line arm is the honest counterweight to any hitter's hot stretch.
This one stands out: Over 0.5 Hits at -210.
Detroit's Catcher Has Stopped Scoring Too
Dillon Dingler has come around to score exactly once in his last 20 games. That's 19 of 20 for the Under, 4 in a row right now, and an average of 0.05 runs a night, which is about as close to zero as a box score gets. Detroit hosts Minnesota at 6:40 PM ET with Drew Anderson expected on the mound.
Worth a look: Under 0.5 Runs at -160.
Houston's Rookie Can't Get Home
Cam Smith has stayed off the scoreboard in 13 of his last 17 at this number, including his last 4. The split that matters holds up too: he's cashed 15 of his last 19 against right-handers, and Andrew Painter is Philadelphia's expected starter. Houston's young right fielder gets on base often enough, but the men behind him haven't brought him in. 6:40 PM ET in Philadelphia.
Worth a look: Under 0.5 Runs at -210.
Sanoja Is the One Bat on a Heater in Miami
Javier Sanoja has a hit in 7 straight at tonight's number, and in 15 of his last 18, averaging 1.4 hits a game over that run. Miami's third baseman has been the club's most dependable bat at exactly the point in the calendar when the Marlins are chasing a wild card spot. Sean Manaea is the Mets' expected starter.
The lean is Over 0.5 Hits at -235.
Miami's First Innings Went Quiet Until Last Night
Marlins games have finished scoreless through one in 19 of their last 26, and 21-9 across their last 30 at home. That run did end on Monday, so this is a record rather than a live streak, and it's worth saying plainly. What holds it up is the arm: Sandy Alcantara is 8-2 NRFI in his last 10 starts, and he's been Miami's anchor all year, back from Tommy John surgery with a 3.43 ERA and more innings than anyone in baseball. Miami has scored 7 runs total across his last 4 starts, which tells you what kind of games these have been.
The lean is to the scoreless first.
Quick hits
- Royce Lewis has stayed off the board in 15 of his last 17 at the number, 5 in a row, at -190 in Detroit.
- Two Pirates in the same lineup, same idea: Nick Gonzales has failed to score in 11 of his last 12 at -185, and Spencer Horwitz in 15 of his last 18 at -210. One low-scoring night in Chicago cashes both, so treat them as one bet, not two.
- Andrew Vaughn made yesterday's board at 14 of 15. He got another hit Monday. Make it 15 of his last 16, and 5 straight, at -210.
Almost every name above is set up to do tonight exactly what it did last night, and the night before that. Somebody on this list breaks the pattern by 10 PM ET. The fun part is that nobody can tell you which one.
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