The strongest MLB betting trends on the board for Monday, August 3: streaks, props and NRFI angles pulled from our graded-results database and checked against the current lines. Updated every morning through the season.
Today's board: a night that argues with itself
8 games, first pitch from 6:40 PM ET in Philadelphia through 9:40 PM ET in Phoenix. The game-market side splits cleanly in two: Houston and Texas keep putting up crooked numbers while the Yankees, Cubs and Rays keep burying totals. The player side is a run of hitters whose counting stats have gone missing, led by an All-Star catcher who hasn't driven in a run since July. We cover it in two pieces, MLB Betting Trends: Houston's Bats Are on a 6-Game Tear for the game markets and MLB Player Props: Contreras Quiet in 11 Straight for the players.
| Trend | Record | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Astros Team Total Over 4.5 | Over in 6 straight | -106 |
| William Contreras Under 0.5 RBI | no RBI in 11 straight | -200 |
| Yankees Team Total Under 4.5 | Under in 13 of the last 16 | -115 |
| Rangers Game Total Over 8 | Over in 18 of the last 23 | -115 |
| Paul Goldschmidt Under 0.5 Hits | hitless in 4 straight | +175 |
The short version: Houston is back atop the AL West and its bats have cleared a 4.5 team total six times running, while the Bronx keeps producing 3-2 wins and Chicago's first five innings have gone dark five games in a row. On the player board, William Contreras and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. are both hitting fine and both stuck without an RBI, and Paul Goldschmidt draws the Cardinals at plus money in the middle of a hitless stretch. The sharpest tension sits in Houston, where the Astros' Over and Toronto's Under both have live streaks in the same game. Both boards are covered in full above.
How this board gets built
We track graded results for every player prop and team market across MLB, every day. A trend only makes this page when the record is real (no cherry-picked windows), the streak is current, and the number is checked against today's actual line. We also replay every record at today's number, so a trend built at a different line doesn't get sold as the same bet. Games where the starting pitcher isn't settled get left off rather than guessed at. Records describe what has already happened; they never guarantee what happens next. If a term on this page is new to you, our betting terminology guide covers all of it, and our EV calculator shows what any price really pays.
FAQ
How often is this page updated?
Every morning during the MLB season, after our overnight results grade and the day's lines load. Game-day articles go deeper on each slate and are linked above as they publish.
What is an MLB betting trend?
A repeated, graded result in one specific market: a hitter clearing the same prop line game after game, a team's games opening scoreless, a total leaning one direction. We report the exact market, the exact record, and today's price, so you can judge it yourself.
Are these picks?
No. WagerSharp is editorial trend analysis, not a picks service. We surface what the data shows and flag angles worth a look; the decision, the line shopping and the bet sizing are yours. Our line shopping guide explains why the number you bet matters as much as the side.
Odds move all day, so always check the current number. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.