The strongest MLB betting trends on the board for Monday, August 10: streaks, props and NRFI angles pulled from our graded-results database and checked against the current lines. Updated every morning through the season.
Today's board: two loud games, eight quiet ones
10 games, none of them before dark, running from 7:07 PM ET in Toronto through a 10:10 PM ET finish in Los Angeles. Almost the whole card is trending toward silence, with Team Total Unders and game Unders stacked from Toronto to Arizona. The exceptions are bunched together: Mets-Braves and Phillies-Cardinals, both early East games, are the only two places the scoreboard keeps moving. The player card runs the same way, a long list of bats that can't find a base, with the twist that most of those streaks come back at plus money. We cover it in two pieces, MLB Betting Trends: Braves Lead Early, 17 of Last 20 for the game markets and MLB Player Props: Gunnar Henderson Held Under 8 Straight for the players.
| Trend | Record | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Braves First 5 Innings Run Line -0.5 | Led through 5 in 17 of last 20 | +120 |
| Red Sox Moneyline | Won 15 of last 16 | -146 |
| Rays Game Total Under 10 | Under in 13 of last 17 | -108 |
| Gunnar Henderson Under 1.5 Total Bases | 1 base or none in 8 straight | -130 |
| Freddie Freeman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI | 7 straight | +110 |
The short version: this is a board that mostly refuses to score. Atlanta has taken a lead into the 6th inning in 17 of its last 20 games, the Dodgers have been held to 4 runs or fewer in 14 of their last 18, Rays games have finished Under in 13 of the last 17, and Toronto's bats have been shut down at home in 13 of 15. Boston is the one straight-up story, winners of 15 of its last 16. The loud half is small and easy to find: Mets games have produced 5 or more combined runs through 5 innings in 8 of the last 9, and the Phillies have gone Over in 5 straight while averaging 11.6 runs a night. On the player side the cold bats dominate, from Gunnar Henderson's 8-game run without an extra-base hit to a 12-game RBI drought for Jake Burger, and several of those streaks are priced above even money.
How this board gets built
We track graded results for every player prop and team market across MLB, every day. A trend only makes this page when the record is real (no cherry-picked windows), the streak is current, and the number is checked against today's actual line. We also replay every record at today's number, so a trend built at a different line doesn't get sold as the same bet. Games where the starting pitcher isn't settled get left off rather than guessed at. Records describe what has already happened; they never guarantee what happens next. If a term on this page is new to you, our betting terminology guide covers all of it, and our EV calculator shows what any price really pays.
FAQ
How often is this page updated?
Every morning during the MLB season, after our overnight results grade and the day's lines load. Game-day articles go deeper on each slate and are linked above as they publish.
What is an MLB betting trend?
A repeated, graded result in one specific market: a hitter clearing the same prop line game after game, a team's games opening scoreless, a total leaning one direction. We report the exact market, the exact record, and today's price, so you can judge it yourself.
Are these picks?
No. WagerSharp is editorial trend analysis, not a picks service. We surface what the data shows and flag angles worth a look; the decision, the line shopping and the bet sizing are yours. Our line shopping guide explains why the number you bet matters as much as the side.
Odds move all day, so always check the current number. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.