The strongest NFL betting trends on the board for Week 1 (September 9 to 14): spreads, totals and player props pulled from our graded-results database and checked against the current lines. Updated through the week during the season.
This week's board: the champions open at home
Week 1 opens Wednesday night with New England at Seattle, a rematch of Super Bowl LX, then sends the 49ers and Rams to Melbourne on Thursday, fills Sunday with 13 games and closes with Broncos at Chiefs on Monday night. The first piece of the week is the kickoff game. Seattle covered 13 of its 17 games as a favorite last season and covered the 2nd Half Spread in 9 straight to finish the year, while New England answered by going 5-0 ATS in primetime. Both sides, the first-half and first-quarter angles, and the quick hits are in Patriots vs Seahawks trends.
| Trend | Last season | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Seahawks -3.5 | 13-4 ATS as a favorite, 5 straight | +100 |
| Seahawks 2nd Half Spread -1.5 | 9-0 ATS in their last 9 | -115 |
| Seahawks 1st Half Team Total Under 12.5 | stayed Under in the final 8 regular-season games | -108 |
| Seahawks 1st Quarter Spread -0.5 | led after the 1st quarter in 6 straight | +115 |
| Patriots +3 | 5-0 ATS in primetime | -102 |
The Thursday night piece, the Sunday boards and the Sunday and Monday night standalones land here as they publish.
How this board gets built
We track graded results for every player prop and game market across the NFL, book by book, every week. A trend only makes this page when the record is real (no cherry-picked windows), the streak is current, and the number is checked against this week's actual line. Records built last season are labeled as last season; nothing from January gets dressed up as this year's form. Primetime games get their own pieces because they are their own bets. We never infer an injury from a missing game, and inactives land 90 minutes before kickoff, so anything on this page is written with "expected to" in mind. Records describe what has already happened; they never guarantee what happens next. If a term here is new to you, our betting terminology guide covers all of it, and our EV calculator shows what any price really pays.
FAQ
How often is this page updated?
Every day an NFL piece publishes during the season: the week rolls over on Tuesday when lines post, the Thursday, Sunday and Monday night games each get their own update, and the Sunday board is finalized on Sunday morning. Game-day articles go deeper on each slate and are linked above as they publish.
What is an NFL betting trend?
A repeated, graded result in one specific market: a receiver clearing the same receptions line week after week, a team covering as a home dog, a total leaning one direction in divisional games. We report the exact market, the exact record, and this week's price, so you can judge it yourself.
Are these picks?
No. WagerSharp is editorial trend analysis, not a picks service. We surface what the data shows and flag angles worth a look; the decision, the line shopping and the bet sizing are yours. Our line shopping guide explains why the number you bet matters as much as the side.
Odds move all week, so always check the current number. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.