Seven months after Seattle closed out Super Bowl LX, the same two teams open the 2026 season at Lumen Field. That gap is the strange part of tonight's Patriots vs Seahawks player props board: nobody hit reset. Every angle worth writing up here runs straight through last season's finish, and a couple of them run through the Super Bowl itself.
Tonight's game
| Kickoff | 8:20 PM ET, Wednesday |
| Venue | Lumen Field, Seattle |
| TV | NBC and Peacock |
| Quarterbacks | Drake Maye (NE), Sam Darnold (SEA) |
| Spread | Seattle -3 at home, New England +3 on the road |
Seattle unveils its championship banner before kickoff. New England arrives without running back TreVeyon Henderson, ruled out with an ankle injury, and without center Ben Brown, who didn't travel. Seattle is down safety Ty Okada.
The board
| Prop | Record | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Drake Maye Over 232.5 Passing Yards | Cleared in 5 of his last 5 primetime games | -112 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson Over 23.5 Receiving Yards | Cleared in 4 of his last 5 as an underdog | -113 |
| Cooper Kupp Over 29.5 Receiving Yards | Cleared in each of his last 4 at home | -109 |
| Sam Darnold Under 0.5 Interceptions Thrown | No pick in his last 4 | -110 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba Anytime Touchdown | Scored in 7 of his last 9 at home | +140 |
Maye Kept Rolling Under the Lights
296.8 yards. That's the average Patriots quarterback Drake Maye put up across his last 5 primetime starts, dating back to last season, against numbers that sat near 238.5. Tonight's is 232.5, and he threw for 268, 380, 282, 281 and 273 in those 5 games. He's gone Over his Passing Yards number in 6 of his last 7 as an underdog too, and he's a 3-point road dog here.
The honest wrinkle sits on the other sideline. Seattle allowed 17.2 points per game last season, fewest in the league, and held New England to 13 in the Super Bowl. Maye has been airing it out in these spots anyway. If you want the game-market read on the same matchup, yesterday's team trends board covers it.
Worth a look: Over 232.5 at -112.
The Backfield Job Just Got Bigger
Henderson's ankle leaves Rhamondre Stevenson with the New England backfield to himself, and the interesting number isn't his carries. It's the pass game. Stevenson has cleared 23.5 receiving yards in 4 of his last 5 as an underdog, including each of the last 3, with games of 40, 27 and 27 yards out of the backfield. Widen it to every game with Maye starting and he's gone Over his Receiving Yards number in 8 of his last 11.
Seattle's soft spot last season was exactly this: the Seahawks allowed the 6th-most receiving yards to running backs in the league, 32.9 per game. Stevenson gets those snaps by default tonight.
The lean is Over 23.5 at -113.
Kupp Has Been a Different Player at Home
Seattle brought Cooper Kupp in to work alongside Jaxon Smith-Njigba, and Lumen Field is where the veteran receiver has done his damage. He's topped 29.5 receiving yards in each of his last 4 home games, going for 36, 60, 39 and 46. That's an average of 45.25 yards against a number set at 29.5, a cushion of roughly 15 yards a night.
With Darnold throwing him the ball, Kupp has finished Over his Receiving Yards number in 6 of his last 8. Books list him at -109.
Stands out: Over 29.5 receiving yards.
Darnold Has Stopped Handing It Over
Sam Darnold hasn't thrown an interception in his last 4 games, a run that carried all the way through the Super Bowl. At home he's kept the ball out of trouble in 4 of his last 5.
Worth a look: Under 0.5 Interceptions Thrown at -110.
Smith-Njigba Keeps Finding the End Zone in Seattle
Books have Jaxon Smith-Njigba at +140 to score, the only plus price on this board. He's found the end zone in 7 of his last 9 home games and in each of the last 3, and primetime hasn't slowed him down either, with scores in 3 of his last 4 under the lights. The NFL's Top 100 voters put him 5th overall this summer.
New England's defense allowed the 8th-most receiving touchdowns to wide receivers last season, 1.1 per game. That's the matchup Seattle can go looking for near the goal line, and the anytime touchdown market is where it lands.
Could be a value play: +140 to find the end zone again.
Seattle raises a banner before kickoff, and that's the only part of tonight built to feel like a fresh start. The rest of this board picks up mid-sentence.
Numbers move between now and 8:20 PM ET, so it pays to check the current price with our line shopping guide before you do anything with them. And whatever you play tonight, gamble responsibly.