Fifteen games on the Wednesday, September 9 card, and the MLB player props board has almost no middle ground. Half these bats haven't done a thing in two weeks. The other half haven't stopped. There's barely a name on here having an ordinary month, which makes the whole thing unusually easy to read.
| Prop | Record | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Colt Keith Under 1.5 Total Bases | 1 base or none in 12 straight | -180 |
| Carson Benge Under 0.5 RBI | No RBI in 9 straight | -225 |
| Mookie Betts Over 0.5 Runs | Scored in 8 straight | +100 |
| Michael Harris II Under 0.5 Runs | Hasn't scored in 5 straight | -125 |
| Jackson Chourio Over 0.5 Runs | Scored in 9 of his last 11 | +115 |
| Yainer Diaz Over 0.5 Hits | A hit in 13 of his last 14 | -180 |
Colt Keith Has Forgotten What Second Base Looks Like
Detroit third baseman Colt Keith has finished with 1 base or none in 12 consecutive games, and in 16 of his last 18. Across that stretch he's averaged 0.67 total bases a night, which is another way of saying most nights he gets nothing at all. Seven of the last 12 were flat zeros.
Minnesota hands the ball to Zebby Matthews for the 1:10 PM ET start at Comerica. Keith's number is 1.5 Total Bases and the Under is -180, which is a chunk of juice to lay, though 12 in a row is 12 in a row.
The lean is Under 1.5 Total Bases.
Nobody Is Driving In Runs for the Mets Right Now
Carson Benge hasn't picked up an RBI in 9 straight games, and he's come away empty in 17 of his last 20. That's an average of 0.25 RBI a game from a corner outfielder, and the Mets send him out against Janson Junk in Miami.
First pitch is 6:40 PM ET. Benge's RBI number is 0.5 and the Under sits at -225, which is as expensive as this board gets.
Worth a look: Under 0.5 RBI.
Betts Has Crossed the Plate Every Night for Over a Week
Here's the other side of the board. Mookie Betts has scored in 8 straight games. Not two runs, not three, exactly 1 in every one of them, which is the kind of steady that a 0.5 number was built for.
Los Angeles closes the night against Cincinnati at 10:10 PM ET with Yoshinobu Yamamoto on the mound and Rhett Lowder going for the Reds. Betts is even money to score again, and even money on an 8-game run is the most straightforward number on the card.
Stands out: Over 0.5 Runs at +100.
Atlanta's Center Fielder Has Gone Quiet
Michael Harris II hasn't scored a run in 5 straight, and he's stayed off the board in 22 of his last 30. That works out to 0.30 runs a game across those 30. Atlanta sends Reynaldo López out against Griffin Jax at 7:15 PM ET.
Books have him at -125 to stay put again.
Worth a look: Under 0.5 Runs.
Chourio Just Put Up 8 Bases in a Night
Jackson Chourio's previous game was an 8-total-base explosion, the kind of line that shows up once a season. One game doesn't tell you much on its own. What sits underneath it does: he's scored in 9 of his last 11 and in each of the last 3.
Milwaukee starts Logan Henderson against Kevin Gausman and the Cubs at 7:40 PM ET. At +115 to come around and score, Chourio is the only genuine plus price among the runs markets tonight.
Could be a value play: Over 0.5 Runs at +115.
Houston's Catcher Keeps Finding a Hit
Yainer Diaz has a hit in 13 of his last 14 games and in each of the last 4, averaging 1.29 knocks a night over that run. Two of his last 6 were multi-hit nights.
Hunter Brown starts for the Astros against Cristopher Sánchez in Philadelphia at 6:40 PM ET. Diaz is -180 to keep it going.
The lean is Over 0.5 Hits.
Quick hits
- Teoscar Hernández is the other half of that Dodgers lineup, and he's been louder than Betts: a hit in 9 straight, including 3 last night. He's -200 for one more.
- -113 for Matt Olson to finish with 1 or fewer Hits + Runs + RBI, which he's done 8 games running. Same lineup as Harris, same story, so treat them as one read rather than two.
- Royce Lewis was on yesterday's board and hasn't scored since. Make it 7 in a row tonight and that's a full week without touching home. Under 0.5 Runs is -176.
- Jake Cronenworth has stayed off the board in 14 of his last 15 in San Diego, at -200.
- Gleyber Torres shares a dugout with Keith and could not be running hotter: a hit in 17 of his last 21 and in each of the last 4, at -225.
Every one of these is a 0.5 or 1.5 number, which is what a board full of streaks looks like in September. If those thresholds are new to you, our betting terminology guide walks through them. Football fans, the season opener has its own piece: Patriots vs Seahawks player props.
Somebody on this list breaks pattern tonight. Half of them have made a full-time job out of not doing that.
Prices move all afternoon, so check the current number with our line shopping guide before you act on any of it. And please gamble responsibly.